Posted on
1/9/2008 5:09:35 PM
NCAA Basketball Wagering – St. Bonaventure at Xavier
By Eric Williams
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies, (6-8 SU, 4-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U) won their last contest, beating Bucknell 65-62 on Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak but will certainly have their hands full with the Xavier Musketeers, (12-3 SU, 7-4 ATS, 6-5 O/U) who are riding a four-game winning streak coming into this contest.
Since losing consecutive games to Arizona State and Tennessee, Xavier (12-3) has absolutely pounded their opponents, winning the last four games by an average of 29.8 points, including a 80-57 rout over a stunned Auburn team on Sunday to pick up their first road victory of the season in three tries.
Xavier is one of the most balanced teams in the nation with six Musketeers players averaging double figures in points, led by lightning-quick 5-foot-7 senior point guard Drew Lavender (12.6 ppg).
At 6-8, St. Bonaventure has nearly equaled their win-total from a season ago when they went a horrific 7-22.
St. Bonaventure is led by senior forward Michael Lee, (18.2 ppg) but has only one other scorer averaging in double figures in scoring.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NCAAB Betting Free Pick.
Key Bonnies Trends
The Bonnies are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.
The Bonnies are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Bonnies are 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. Atlantic Ten.
Key Musketeers Trends
The Musketeers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
The Musketeers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
The Musketeers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Bonnies last six road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Under is 4-1 in Bonnies last five games following a S.U. win.
The Over is 4-1 in Musketeers last five games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
The Over is 4-1 in Musketeers last five overall.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The Bonnies are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Xavier.
The Bonnies are 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Analysis: The Bonnies are absolutely atrocious on offense and although I hate high point spreads like this one, I’m going with Xavier to win this game by 30 points.
NCAAB Free Picks: Xavier 80 St. Bonaventure 50
07:00 PM EST NCAA Basketball Odds
St. Bonaventure +26½ -110
Xavier -26½ -110
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