Posted on
5/22/2007 6:43:42 PM
NBA Playoff Betting Odds - Jazz (59-36) at Spurs (67-27)
By Eric Williams
While the San Antonio Spurs (50-42-2 ATS) are clearly the team to beat in the Western Conference now - and probably in the NBA Finals as well - the Utah Jazz (45-45-5 ATS) are a veteran-laden group that won’t exactly roll over in tonight’s matchup and could end up covering the 6.5-point spread or win this game outright.
Here is a look at tonight’s trends, followed by my Free NBA pick:
Key Jazz Trends
The Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
Key Spurs Trends
The Spurs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
The Spurs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite.
The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games.
Key Total Trends
The Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games as a road underdog.
The Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage higher than .600.
The Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
The Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.
Key Head to Head Trends
The Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.
The Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The Jazz haven’t exactly been powerhouses on the road this season, going a mediocre 22-26 away from home.
This line is a tough call even if you believe the Spurs are going to win this game, as I do.
Something tells me the Jazz are going to keep this game close until the final few possessions before falling just short of winning outright.
NBA Free Pick: I say take the Jazz to cover the spread against the Spurs tonight.
09:05 PM EST
Utah Jazz +6½ -110
San Antonio Spurs -6½ -110
SA leads: 1-0
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