Posted on
5/14/2007 6:21:50 PM
NBA Free Picks - Cavaliers at Nets Game 4
By Eric Williams
New Jersey got its first win of the series and remained unbeaten at home in the postseason with a solid 96-85 win over Cleveland in game three.
Jason Kidd was downright spectacular in posting another triple-double and both, Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson had solid games in a supporting role.
The Cavaliers (47-40-2 ATS) looked nothing like the team that thoroughly manhandled the Nets in the series’ first two games and could be in danger of letting the Nets (47-42-2 ATS) tie the series with a victory tonight.
Here is a look at tonight’s trends, followed by my pick:
Key Cavaliers Trends
The Cavaliers are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Cavaliers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Key Nets Trends
The Nets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday games.
The Nets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
The Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 playoff games as an underdog.
The Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
The Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 Monday games.
The Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Cavaliers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
The Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New Jersey.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Basketball Trends.
Though I like the Cavaliers to eventually win this series, the fact is that not much separates these teams talent-wise.
As a matter of fact, a case could be made for the Nets being the more athletic team with Carter and Jefferson filling the lanes and Kidd leading the fastbreak.
NBA Free Picks: Take the Nets and their superior athleticism to win this game outright and cover the spread in the process.
07:05 PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers +3½ -110
New Jersey Nets -3½ -110
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Eric Williams is a Sports Columnist for the Philadelphia Sunday Sun. To contact Eric, e-mail, eklass66@yahoo.com