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posted April 2, 2008 at 21:21 in NBA Articles

Portland Trailblazers (+ 13) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (- 13)

The Trailblazers would be playoff bound if their home-court was in Portland, Maine and not Portland, Oregon. Oh, well. Such is life in the NBA Western Conference. In any case, they actually catch the Lakers at a bad point during the season - - from a BetUS wagering perspective - - as the mighty Lakers have gone 4 and 6 against the BetUS spread in their last 10 games.

Check out these stats - - against the Memphis Grizzlies the Lakers were favored by 13.5 points. They lost to the Grizzlies by 3 points. Against the Charlotte Bobcats the Lakers were favored again by 13.5 points. They lost to the Bobcats by 13 points. Against the Golden State Warriors the Lakers were favored by 8 points. They lost to the Warriors by 4 points.

Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum are still out for the Lakers. The Blazers will be without Brandon Roy. Who’s going to break?

Here are some trends:

The Portland Trailblazers are 2 and 5 against the spread in their last7 overall games.

The Portland Trailblazers are 6 and 13 against the spread in their last 19 games following a straight-up loss.

The Los Angeles Lakers are 8 and 3 against the spread in their last 11 games versus a team from the NBA Northwest Division.

The Los Angeles Lakers are 2 and 5 against the spread in their last 7 games following an against the spread loss.

The Underdog is 20 and 6 against the spread in the last 26 meetings between these two teams.

I’m not even considering the BetUS over/under because, to me, this game is obvious. The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t been covering huge spreads lately. Anything over 10 points is a huge spread. Even without Brandon Roy, the Portland Trailblazers should put up a fight in this game. Sure, Kobe can go off and get 50, maybe even 60 points, but the Blazers have enough without Roy to keep this thing close.

The trends don’t lie in this situation. The Lakes should win this game, but it will probably be a squeaker. I’m taking the Blazers to beat the spread.

The BetUS line is Portland Trailblazers + 13 against the spread on the road versus the Los Angeles Lakers.

Because of recent history, this call is easy. I’m taking the Blazers and the points.

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