posted March 12, 2008 at 16:20 in NBA Articles
NBA Basketball Picks – Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
by Eric Williams
While the Golden State Warriors, (39-23 SU, 27-35 ATS, 36-24-2 O/U), are trying to improve their playoff position in the tight western conference and enter this matchup riding a two-game winning streak, including a solid 104-95 victory over the Orlando Magic on Monday.
While the Warriors have won seven of their last ten games and have scored over 104 points in eight of their last ten contests, the Toronto Raptors, (34-29 SU, 34-28-1 ATS, 36-27 O/U), are struggling in a big way, having lost five of their last seven games, including a 117-108 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers Tuesday night.
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The Warriors have been covering the spread at a decent rate in the BetUS.com Sportsbook, picking up ATS wins in three of their last four games and two straight coming into this matchup.
Toronto has also struggled against the spread, going 5-5 against the spread in their last ten games and just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my analysis and NBA Betting Picks.
The Raptors are 27-8 ATS in their last 35 Wednesday games.
The Raptors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Eastern Conference.
The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last ten when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Raptors last five vs. NBA Pacific.
The Over is 4-0-1 in Warriors last five games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
The Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
The Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Analysis: While the Warriors can certainly put points on the board, their defense is mediocre at best. I say take the raptors to cover the spread in a losing effort.
NBA Free Picks: Toronto +9 Points/Under 222 Total Points
10:35 PM EST NBA Betting Odds
Toronto Raptors +9 -110
Golden State Warriors -9 -110
Over 222 -110
Under 222 -110
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