Posted on
2/26/2008 7:50:58 PM
NBA Basketball Betting Free Picks - Sacramento Kings at Miami Heat
By Eric Williams
While the Sacramento Kings, (26-29 SU, 30-25 ATS, 28-23-4 O/U) have struggled with inconsistency all season long as evidenced by their 5-5 straight up record over their last ten games, they have not struggled nearly as much as the pathetic Miami Heat, (9-45 SU, 18-35-1 ATS, 28-24-2 O/U), losers of 11 consecutive games coming into this matchup.
Both teams enter this contest coming off losses as the Kings fell to the Orlando Magic 112-93 on Sunday and the Heat lost to the Philadelphia 76ers 101-96 in overtime on Saturday.
Despite their struggles, Heat shooting guard Dwayne Wade has gone on record to say that none of his teammates has quit on the team although I beg to differ.
The Kings have been one of the top ATS teams in the league nearly all season and are 5-5 against the spread in their last ten contests.
Miami has dropped three straight games against the spread and is a dismal 2-7-1 against the spread in its last ten games.
The Heat are averaging just 93.2 points per game while giving up 100.9 per contest.
Sacramento is averaging 100.8 points per night but are also allowing more points per game than they are scoring (102.6).
The teams will meet again Sunday in Sacramento, the Kings' first home game following their recent road trip.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NBA Free Picks.
The Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last ten Tuesday games.
The Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games following a S.U. loss.
The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight vs. NBA Pacific.
The Under is 5-0 in Kings last five vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
The Over is 7-1 in Heat last eight vs. NBA Pacific.
The Under is 7-3 in the last ten meetings.
The Kings are 1-10 ATS in the last eleven meetings.
Analysis: While this is a game I believe the Miami Heat may be able to win, I just don’t see them getting it done in the end. Take the Sacramento Kings to cover the spread in a squeaker, NBA bettors.
NBA Free Picks: Kings -2 Points/Over 203½ Total Points
07:35 PM EST
Sacramento Kings -2 -110
Miami Heat +2 -110
Over 203½ -110
Under 203½ -110
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