posted October 31, 2007 at 16:33 in NASCAR Betting Trends
NASCAR Betting: Analysis for Weekend’s Dickies 500
I’m going to do something different in this week’s NASCAR betting article. Instead of concentrating on match-up betting, I’m going to go over some interesting BetUS future bet opportunities regarding the Dickies 500 at Texas Motor Speedway this Sunday.
Jeff Burton won the April 15th race earlier this year with Jeff Gordon finishing second. Could Burton strike gold again? The BetUS odds for Burton winning the Dickies 500 is +1500.
Burton hasn’t necessarily been lighting things up lately not finishing first or second since, well, that April 15th race. So, if you really like Burton, you can’t be happy that you’re only getting + 1500 on him even if the Texas Motor Speedway was the last place he won at. I’m going to say that the odds are too low on Burton.
A much better wager, and one that you should jump on right now because there is no doubt that the closer we get to race day the more these odds will change, are on Jeff Gordon. The BetUS NASCAR odds on Jeff Gordon to win the Dickies 500 are + 550.
Gordon has been “en fuego” lately. He finished 7th last week in the Pep Boys Auto 500 but before that he had finished first in the UAW-Ford 500 and Bank of America 500 and second in the Subway 500. Of course, when it comes to the Texas Motor Speedway, Jeff Gordon hasn’t won this race in the past ten years. For Gordon, that’s a very long drought.
Then again, Gordon hasn’t had to protect a lead for a couple of years. With his teammate Jimmie Johnson on his heels in the Nextel Cup Chase, expect Jeff Gordon to rev it up this weekend. Johnson is only 9 points behind Gordon in the Cup Chase. That means that Gordon has to win this coming Sunday because if he doesn’t then the person who probably will win is…
Jimmie Johnson. The problem with wagering on Johnson in the Dickies 500 is that his BetUS odds are a paltry + 450. That extra 100 that BetUS is offering on Gordon makes Gordon a much better wager in this spot.
That’s not to say that Johnson won’t win the Dickies 500. It is to say that the odds on Johnson do not correctly reflect his chances of winning the Dickies 500. In a race that figures to go neck and neck, always take the higher-priced “horse”. That’s a rule right out of Papa Williamson’s handbook on sports betting!
If you decide to look past both Johnson and Gordon, then don’t look towards Tony Stewart at BetUS odds of + 700. The odds are too low and Stewart just hasn’t been himself lately. Maybe, the idea of driving a Toyota next year has brought him into a deep depression.
Instead, take a look at these three drivers who could have a shot this Sunday:
Kasey Kahane – BetUS odds of + 1500 - Won the Samsung 500 in 2006 and NASCAR loves when this guy wins. They can get more royalties off of his tight jean commercials.
Clint Bowyer – BetUS odds of + 1800 - Bowyer is hot and cold but at those odds he’s worth a small wager.
Carl Edwards – BetUS odds of + 1200 – Edwards owns the record for fastest car ever on the Texas Motor Speedway track. Odds are sort of low for this guy, but why not? He has every chance to get crazy at Texas and, if Jimmie and Jeff G. see Edwards run off by himself they might try to just beat each other since nobody is close to either Jimmie or Jeff G. in the standings. That makes Edwards a hard look to.
Until next week, good luck!
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