Posted on 10/15/2007 4:16:19 PM

Baseball Betting: Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians Game 3

By Eric Williams

The Boston Red Sox travel to Cleveland where they will resume their ALCS matchup with the series tied at one game apiece. After knocking off the Indians in Game 1, the Red Sox were handed a cold, hard dose of reality when the Indians pulled off a shocking seven-run outburst in the 11th inning of Game 2.

With the series heading to Cleveland – along with momentum from Saturday’s eruption, can the Indians hold off the Red Sox and Japanese phenomenon Daisuke Matsuzaka in Game 3.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Baseball Betting Pick:

Key Red Sox Trends

The Red Sox are 4-1 in Matsuzaka's last five starts as a favorite.

The Red Sox are 2-6 in Matsuzaka's last eight starts as a road favorite.

The Red Sox are 1-4 in Matsuzaka's last five road starts.

Key Indians Trends

The Indians are 2-5 in Westbrook's last seven starts.

The Indians are 2-5 in Westbrook's last seven starts on Grass.

The Indians are 1-4 in Westbrook's last five starts with seven or more days of rest.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 5-0-1 in Matsuzaka's last six starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.

The Under is 5-0 in Matsuzaka's last five starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

The Under is 7-1-1 in Westbrook's last nine starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game.

The Under is 13-3-2 in Westbrook's last 18 starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Red Sox are 9-3 in the last twelve meetings in Cleveland.

For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.

The Pitchers: Red Sox starting pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka is 15-12 in 32 starts covering 204.2 innings. Matsuzaka has 201 strikeouts, 80 walks and an ERA of 4.40.

Indians starting pitcher Jake Westbrook is 6-9 in 25 starts covering 152.0 innings. Westbrook has 93 strikeouts, 55 walks and a 4.32 ERA.

Analysis: The Red Sox need an absolute gem from Matsuzaka tonight and I say that Dice-K reaches down deep and comes up with one. Take the Red Sox to win this one by getting a stellar performance from Matsuzaka while pounding Cleveland’s Jake Westbrook at some point.

MLB Free Picks: Red Sox 6 Indians 4

07:05 PM EST MLB Betting

Boston Red Sox Daisuke Matsuzaka - R -120

Cleveland Indians Jake Westbrook - R +110

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