Posted on
4/16/2008 4:16:09 PM
MLB Online Baseball Betting - Colorado at San Diego
By Charles Jay
BetUS MLB betting odds: San Diego -140, Colorado +120, Total 8.5 (Under -115, Over -105)
The Colorado Rockies (5-8), who couldn't put a run on the board yesterday, hope to have better luck on Wednesday night when they take on the San Diego Padres (8-6) in National League action that begins at 10:05 PM ET at Petco Park in San Diego (natural turf).
Left-hander Mark Redman (1-1, 5.06 ERA) is the Rockies' starter, while right-hander Justin Germano (0-0, 0.00 ERA) gets the assignment for San Diego.
At BetUS Sportsbook, the Padres are listed as a -140 favorite (Colorado is +120), with a total of 8.5 runs (Under is -115, with the Over at -105).
Here are some of the MLB Baseball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
(NOTE: These trends may also revert back to the 2007 season)
* COL has lost 12 of its last 17 games
* COL has lost five of its last six road games
* COL has played four of its last five games OVER the total
* COL has played four of its last six road games OVER the total
* SD has won three of its last four games
* SD has won 17 of its last 25 home games
* SD has played six of its last nine games UNDER the total
* SD has played six of its last eight home games UNDER the total
In the HEAD-TO-HEAD baseball betting trends:
* COL has won five of the last six meetings
* SD has won 10 of the last 15 meetings as the home team
* Five of the last seven meetings have gone UNDER the total
* Four of the last six meetings in San Diego have gone UNDER the total
Mark Redman was a member of the American League All-Star team just two seasons ago, but struggled with injury last year, limiting him to just eight starts. He showed a little for the defending NL champs in three starts in '07 (3.20 ERA), but at age 34, he's been shaky for the Rockies thus far, giving up 16 hits in 10-2/3 innings.
Justin Germano has a history of being hard to beat when he exhibits pinpoint control, and he often did that in the minors. Over a two-year period between 2005 and 2007, he went through a stretch of 236 innings and walked just 32. Last year he had a 3.5-to-1 ratio of strikeouts to walks in his first ten starts, but then faltered. In 13 innings spread over two starts this season, he's given up just seven hits and three walks without permitting a run (with a 0.77 WHIP), which means right now he may be in something of a zone.
So a kid with 31 major league starts is the more "known" quantity at the moment? That's quite possibly the case. Of course, Germano hasn't been supported in his starts (only ONE run), so all he's gotten was two no-decisions, which makes his record, on the surface, look like he hasn't pitched at all.
San Diego has scored more than four runs only four times in 14 games on the season. But Colorado has been even worse, tallying three runs or less in 10 of its 13 games. This may loom as an opportunity to stick with Germano for another start and hope that he gets a little offensive backing for a change. We'll move with the Padres, the -140 favorite in the BetUS Major League Baseball betting odds.
JAY'S PLAY: SAN DIEGO (-140)
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(Charles Jay of http://www.eBookies.com touches all the bases as a regular contributor to the BetUS Locker Room)