Posted on
5/15/2008 3:58:46 PM
MLB Online Betting - Florida Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
By D.S Williamson
The Cincinnati Reds look to complete a four game online betting sweep of the Florida Marlins today when they send pitcher Matt Belisle to the mound. Belisle is no stranger to losing. There really is no other way to write it. Belisle is 1 and 3 on the season with a 7.45 ERA. He has given up 19 runs in 19.1 innings pitched. He’s also given up 3 home runs in that same amount of time. To put this into contrast for online baseball betting fans, pitcher Brandon Webb for the Arizona Diamondbacks has given up 3 home runs in 55.1 innings pitched. Yeah, Belisle has been that bad.
The Marlins counter with pitcher Andrew Miller. Miller isn’t exactly an MLB sports betting stud himself, but he has been much better this season than Matt Belisle. Miller does have a record of 3 and 2 even though his ERA is a ridiculous 6.52. The good thing about Miller is that he has pitched 38.2 innings and has only given up 4 home runs.
Here are the BetUS NBA online sportsbook odds for this game.
Florida Marlins
Andrew Miller – L + 1 ½ - 200 - 110 O 9 ½ - 110
Cincinnati Reds
Matt Belisle – R - 1 ½ + 170 - 110 U 9 ½ - 110
Here are some online baseball wagering trends that could help us find a bet in this game.
The Cincinnati Reds are 1 and 4 in their last 5 games versus a left-handed starter.
The Cincinnati Reds are 3 and 13 in Matt Belisle’s last 16 starts at home.
The Florida Marlins are 7 and 3 in their last 10 overall games.
The Florida Marlins are 0 and 7 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.
The road team is 6 and 0 in umpire Mike Everitt’s last 6 games behind home plate when the Florida Marlins are playing.
The last trend I’ve listed might require too much analysis. In reality it doesn’t matter what Everitt does in this game because the truth is that Matt Belisle is not going to lead the Cincinnati Reds to the Promised Land.
It’s just not going to happen. As good as the Reds have been during this series, Belisle is a tough pitcher-pill to swallow. Sure, he’s at home, but he’s not all that good.
That means, to me, that Andrew Miller and the Florida Marlins beat the Reds straight-up on the road and deny the sweep.
The BetUS online sportsbook wager is Florida Marlins – 110 to beat the Cincinnati Reds on the road in the fourth game of a four game series.
I’ll make that online bet. I like Miller and the Marlins to beat the Reds tonight.
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