posted August 31, 2007 at 19:14 in MLB Betting Trends
MLB Future Odds - MLB World Series Line Moves
If you’ve been following the World Series lines while making your MLB betting rounds, you might have noticed that only seven teams have had stable title odds during August. And who are those seven teams? Well, it’s the club with the best World Series odds on the board, and the six clubs sitting at the very bottom of the chart. Here are those odds:
Baltimore Orioles +50000
Cincinnati Reds +50000
Kansas City Royals +50000
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +50000
Texas Rangers +50000
Washington Nationals +75000
The BoSox were sitting with +300 World Series odds when we last looked at the chart on August 3, and they’re still at +300 odds right now. With the Red Sox seemingly in control of the American League East division, that line should stay stable through the end of September – there’s no reason for it to go down, and there’s not much room to go up.
As for the other six teams, the Orioles, Reds, Royals, Devil Rays, Rangers, and Nationals all seem to have been completely abandoned by bettors. The Reds are the only one of those clubs within 10 games of a division lead (the weak NL Central), so if you absolutely had to place a wager on one of those longshots they’d be the top choice.
So seven teams have remained the same on the World Series MLB odds chart over the past month, but which of the other 23 have actually had their lines improve? Nine teams are seen as stronger World Series contenders now than they were a few weeks ago -- four from the American League and five from the National League. Here are the odds:
Cleveland Indians --- from +800 to +750
Seattle Mariners --- from +1600 to +1000
Toronto Blue Jays --- from +10000 to +9000
Atlanta Braves --- from +1400 to +1200
Philadelphia Phillies --- from +1400 to +1200
Arizona Diamondbacks --- from +1500 to +900
St. Louis Cardinals --- from +5500 to +1800
Colorado Rockies --- from +4000 to +2300
The Yankees remain a top Wild Card contender in the American League, and as long as they are close to a postseason berth they’ll attract some interest from the betting world. The Indians have surged ahead of the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central, while the Mariners have remained in the hunt for the Wild Card – although their current bad stretch has hurt them in the standings. As for the Blue Jays, they’re just hovering around the .500 mark at this point, and their title odds improvement is marginal at best.
Over in the National League the underwhelming play of the New York Mets has kept the Braves and the Phillies in contention for their division title – and helped edge their odds slightly up the list. It’s the Diamondbacks, Cardinals, and Rockies, though, that have made the biggest odds gains on the Senior Circuit’s list. Arizona, a contender for top spot in the NL West, has one of the league’s best marks, while the resurgent Cards are back in the NL Central race. The Rockies, while over .500, are still a stretch to win it all.
And that leaves the 14 teams whose stock has fallen over the past month – five in the AL and nine in the NL. That group can then be split up into contenders and also-rans:
Los Angeles Angels --- from +500 to +650
New York Mets --- from +600 to +650
Detroit Tigers --- from +400 to +700
Chicago Cubs --- from +550 to +800
San Diego Padres --- from +1500 to +1600
Milwaukee Brewers --- from +1200 to +1800
Los Angeles Dodgers --- from +1200 to +2000
Minnesota Twins --- from +3500 to +5000
Florida Marlins --- from +10000 to +15000
Pittsburgh Pirates --- from +9000 to +15000
Houston Astros --- from +10000 to +20000
Chicago White Sox --- from +20000 to +25000
San Francisco Giants --- from +9000 to +30000
Oakland Athletics --- from +4000 to +40000
The Angels, Mets, Tigers, Cubs, and Padres are all still top contenders to make the playoffs this season, but their title odds have slightly eroded over the past month. The Brewers need to break out of their tailspin if they hope to get bettors back on their side, while the Dodgers still have to jump over a couple teams in their own division to make the playoffs – or at least one NL West team and the rest of those Wild Card contenders.
As for the Twins, Marlins, Pirates, Astros, White Sox, and Athletics, those odds don’t have anywhere to go but further down. Of those six teams only Minnesota and Oakland have a shot at finishing above .500, but they’d need a miracle run to make the playoffs.
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