Posted on 9/7/2007 2:52:46 PM
MLB Betting Trends - Milwaukee Brewers (71-68) vs. Cincinnati Reds (63-77)

The Milwaukee Brewers begin a stretch in which they'll play 13-of-16 games on the road as they open a three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park this evening and we have the winner for the MLB betting family.

Milwaukee enters this contest in a tie with the Chicago Cubs atop the NL Central. It is the first time this season the Brewers have been in first place since Aug. 21.

- Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 during Game 1 of a series.

- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.

- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

- Brewers are 17-36 in their last 53 road games.

- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.

The Brewers will attempt to hold onto a piece of division supremacy by sending Dave Bush (11-9, 4.83 ERA) to the mound. Both of his starts versus the Reds this year came on the road and he did not get a decision either time, allowing eight runs and 15 hits in 10 1-3 innings.

The right-hander has been solid recently, posting a 3.55 ERA in his last four starts and going at least six innings in each outing. He beat Pittsburgh on Saturday as he allowed one run and four hits in six innings of a 12-3 win in his last outing.

- Brewers are 4-1 in Bush's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.

- Brewers are 3-10 in Bush's last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

- Brewers are 8-20 in Bush's last 28 starts vs. National League Central.

The Reds are 34-35 at home this season, but have won seven of their last nine at Great American Ball Park.

- Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 during Game 1 of a series.

- Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.

- Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

- Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.

- Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.

Cincinnati will hand the ball to Bronson Arroyo (7-14, 4.43 ERA), who has allowed three runs or fewer in four consecutive starts. Arroyo is 5-3 with a 3.58 ERA in eight starts and three relief appearances versus the Brewers. The right-hander won his only outing against them this year, giving up three runs and striking out seven in 7 1-3 innings in an 8-3 victory on Aug. 17.

In his most recent appearance, he lost for the first time on Sunday, giving up three runs and eight hits in 6 1-3 innings in a 3-2 loss to the Cardinals.

- Reds are 14-5 in Arroyo's last 19 starts during Game 1 of a series.

- Reds are 6-14 in Arroyo's last 20 starts with 4 days of rest.

- Reds are 1-4 in Arroyo's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

- Reds are 4-1 in Arroyo's last 5 home starts.

MLB odds display Cincinnati (-115) slight favorites to win Game 1 with a total of 10 under -120. However, Milwaukee is favored to take the series at -120.

- Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.

- Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

- Brewers are 11-29 in their last 40 games as an underdog.

- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

MLB Free Picks: MilwaukeeCincinnati 4

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