Posted on
5/24/2007 1:56:14 PM
MLB Betting Trends - Indians (27-17) at Royals (19-28)
By Eric Williams
Though the Indians enter this game riding a two-game losing streak – and the Royals have won a surprising three consecutive games - this game could quickly change the recent streaks of each team.
The Royals are playing very well right now, having won eight of their last ten, but the Indians are not far behind, going 6-4 in their last ten.
Let’s take a look at tonight’s key trends before I give baseball bettors my MLB Free Pick.
Key Indians Totals
The Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Indians are 11-2 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League Central.
Key Royals Trends
The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
The Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Over is 6-1-1 in Royals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City.
The Indians are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Kansas City.
The Indians are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Indians starting pitcher Jeremy Sowers is 0-4 in eight starts covering 41.2 innings. Sowers has struck out 12 and walked 15 and has a high 7.13 ERA.
Royals starter Jorge De La Rosa is 4-3 in nine starts covering 57.2 innings. De La Rosa has struck out 30 batters and walked 12 and has a 3.59 ERA.
Everything about this game screams ‘Royals.’ From the Indians 2-8 record in the last ten, meetings in K.C. to the four consecutive losses the Indians have suffered at the hands of the beleaguered Royals, all signs point to taking the Royals.
Cleveland’s starting pitcher Jeremy Sowers has been absolutely atrocious in the early going while the Royals’ Jorge De La Rosa would likely have a much better record with another team.
Yet, statistics and trends aside, I like the Indians to end their current losing streak – and the Royals’ winning ways – with a big win tonight.
Sowers might not win this game for the Tribe, but their bats will.
MLB Free Picks: Indians 8 Royals 6
08:10 PM EST
Cleveland Indians Jeremy Sowers- L -140
Kansas City Royals Jorge De La Rosa - L +125
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