Posted on
5/23/2007 6:02:35 PM
MLB Betting Trends - Brewers (28-18) at Dodgers (26-20)
By Eric Williams
The Dodgers cost me last night by beating Ben Sheets in a close affair, but I am not perturbed in making this pick on tonight’s game.
Dodgers starter Randy Wolf quieted the Brewers big bats last and hard-throwing Brad Penny could do the same tonight.
Brewers starter Chris Capuano has been solid all year if not exactly overpowering.
Tonight’s game could turn out to be much like Tuesday night’s 3-2 win for Los Angeles.
Here are the key trends for tonight’s game, followed by my Free MLB Pick:
Key Brewers Trends
The Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. National League West.
The Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Key Dodgers Trends
The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
The Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
The Over is 10-3-3 in the last 16 meetings.
The Brewers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
For a more in-depth report on the game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Brewers starter Chris Capuano is 5-2 in nine starts over 48.1 innings. Capuano has 35 Ks and 19 walks to go along with a 3.72 ERA
Dodgers starter Brad Penny is 5-1 in nine starts covering 56.2 innings. Penny has struck out 35 and walked 20 and has a solid 2.54 ERA.
I picked the Brewers in a squeaker last night because of starting pitcher Ben Sheets, and that’s why I’m going to go with the Dodgers tonight.
While Capuano has been solid for the Brewers in the early going, it is Brad Penny who is the better pitcher here and the one more likely to lead his team to victory.
Take the Dodgers to make it two in a row over the Brewers tonight.
MLB Free Picks: Los Angeles 6 Milwaukee 3
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