Posted on
5/17/2007 2:51:46 PM
MLB Betting Trends - Angels (23-18) at Mariners (18-17)
By Eric Williams
The Angels are 6-4 in their last ten games including Wednesday night’s 5-0 shutout of Seattle. Overall, they are only 9-12 on the road this season.
The Mariners are 5-5 in their last ten games but 11-8 at home this season and have a solid veteran pitcher on the mound who should keep them in this game. Seattle may also be the best defensive team in all of baseball.
Let’s take a look at tonight’s trends, followed by my free MLB pick:
Key Angels Trends
The Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League West.
The Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 games on Grass.
Key Mariners Trends
The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
The Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 Thursday games.
The Under is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 home games.
The Under is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. American League West.
Key Head-to-Head Totals
The Angels are 4-0 in Colon's last 4 road starts vs. Mariners.
The Angels are 5-0 in Colon's last 5 starts vs. Mariners.
The Over is 6-1 in Colon's last 7 starts vs. Mariners.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Angels starting pitcher Bartolo Colon is a spotless 4-0 in five starts with 25 Ks and 4 walks over 32.0 innings. Colon has a solid ERA of 3.66.
Mariners starting pitcher Jarrod Washburn is 3-3 in seven starts with 26 strikeouts and 12 walks over 47.2 innings. Washburn has an ERA of 2.64.
Colon’s 4-0 record makes him look like the better pitcher in this matchup, but Washburn actually has a better ERA by nearly one run and would likely have the better record if he could have gotten some more run support from his teammates.
MLB Free Pick: While I think the Angels possess the better lineup of hitters, I’m going with the M’s to win this game tonight, behind a solid outing from Washburn, who is way overdue for a touch of good luck.
Prediction: Mariners 6 Angels 4
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