Posted on
4/17/2008 6:23:48 PM
MLB Baseball Betting – Seattle Mariners at Oakland A’s
By Eric Williams
The Seattle Mariners, (8-8, 8-8 O/U), enter tonight’s contest against the Oakland Athletics, (9-7, 5-10-1), looking for their third consecutive win after beating the Oakland A’s 4-2 on Wednesday as I correctly predicted absolutely dead-on in the BetUS Locker Room yesterday.
After getting stymied by Mariners gifted right-hander Felix Hernandez on Wednesday in a complete game shutout, the A’s will look to touch up Mariners starter Carlos Silva (2-0, 3.27 ERA), but could have an equally tough task tonight as Silva has been ‘lights out’ in almost every start this season in his first year with the Mariners.
Silva gave up a whopping 11 hits in his last outing on Saturday, but held the Los Angeles Angels to three runs in eight innings of Seattle’s 8-3 victory.
"That's the way I pitch," said Silva, who walked one and threw 98 pitches. "I trust my defense and I don't like to walk people."
The A’s will send left-handed starter Lenny DiNardo, (1-0, 6.75), to the mound looking to repeat his performance from his last outing as DiNardo limited the Cleveland Indians to two runs on six hits in five innings last Saturday as Oakland won 7-3.
"That was a really big performance by Lenny DiNardo," Oakland manager Bob Geren said following the game. "We really needed that."
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Betting Free Picks:
Key Mariners Trends
The Mariners are 4-0 in their last four games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Mariners are 8-2 in their last ten vs. American League West.
The Mariners are 4-1 in their last five vs. a team with a winning record.
Key Athletics Trends
The Athletics are 5-1 in DiNardos last six home starts.
The Athletics are 4-1 in DiNardos last five starts as a home favorite.
The Athletics are 4-1 in DiNardos last five starts as a favorite.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Mariners last six road games.
The Under is 4-1 in Mariners last five games as a road underdog.
The Over is 4-1 in Mariners last five during game two of a series.
The Over is 4-1 in DiNardos last five starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Over is 4-1 in DiNardos last five starts on grass.
The Over is 4-1 in DiNardos last five home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Mariners are 7-0 in the last seven meetings in Oakland.
The Mariners are 5-0 in the last five meetings.
The Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
Analysis: I really like Oakland’s DiNardo and know full well how inconsistent Silva can be at times. However, Silva also has the ability to join the game’s elite pitchers on occasion and believe he will lead the M’s to victory over a feisty Athletics team.
MLB Free Picks: Mariners 4 A’s 3
10:05 PM EST MLB Lines
Seattle Mariners
Carlos Silva - R +1½ -220
Oakland Athletics
Lenny Dinardo - L -1½ +180
Over 9 -110
Under 9 -110
American League
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