Posted on
4/10/2008 12:56:03 PM
MLB Baseball Betting Trends –Cardinals at Giants
By Eric Williams
While the St. Louis Cardinals, (7-2) were generally expected by the sports betting community to be a mediocre team that would struggle in the NL Central this season, they have exceeded everyone’s expectations except their own.
The Cardinals have won two consecutive games in the BetUS Sportsbook coming into tonight’s contest including a 6-4 win over the Houston Astros on Wednesday.
The Cardinals have been fueled by excellent starting pitching as the team’s starters have combined for a 1.99 ERA thus far.
St. Louis will face a San Francisco Giants, (3-6) team that has struggled in the early going, though they enter this matchup coming off a 1-0 win over the San Diego Padres on Wednesday.
Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright (1-0, 2.25 ERA), allowed two runs on eight hits in eight innings in his first start last Saturday, helping the Cardinals to a 5-4 win over the Washington Nationals.
Albert Pujols went 3-for-4 with his first two homers of the season on Wednesday, snapping the longest home run drought of his career to start a season.
"I watched a couple of videos and I made some adjustments at the plate because of some things that I saw the last couple of games," Pujols said of a video session earlier Wednesday. "I knew what I was doing wrong and it's a good thing that I picked it up early and I felt good out there and had success today. Obviously it helped me out."
The Giants will send starter Kevin Correia (0-1, 6.00) to the mound looking to pick up their third straight victory after rookie Daniel Ortmeier's laced an RBI double in the bottom the ninth to lift the club to a thrilling win on Thursday.
Correia gave up four runs on six hits, including a home run, in six innings of the Giants’ 5-4 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Betting Picks:
Key Cardinals Trends
The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last five road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Key Giants Trends
The Giants are 5-1 in their last six games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.
The Giants are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Giants are 6-2 in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last five games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
The Over is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Over is 13-3 in Cardinals last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
The Under is 5-1 in Giants last six Thursday games.
The Over is 5-1 in Giants last six home games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Under is 5-1 in Giants last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Francisco.
The Cardinals are 1-4 in the last five meetings.
Analysis: This pick is an absolute ‘no-brainer.’ Take the Cardinals behind Wainwright to win this game handily and snap the Giants modest winning two-game streak.
MLB Free Picks: Cardinals 6 Giants 3
10:15 PM EST MLB Odds
St Louis Cardinals
Adam Wainwright - R -1½ EV
San Francisco Giants
Kevin Correia - R +1½ -120
Over 7½ -110
Under 7½ -110
National League
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