Posted on
4/29/2008 5:07:55 PM
MLB Baseball Betting- L.A. Dodgers at Florida
By Charles Jay
BetUS MLB baseball betting odds: Los Angeles -135, Florida +115, Total 9.5 (Under -115, Over -105)
The Los Angeles Dodgers (12-13) are making a run at the .500-mark, and on Tuesday night they show up in the Sunshine State in an attempt to get there against the Florida Marlins (15-10) in a National League online baseball betting game that will start at 7:10 PM ET at Dolphin Stadium (natural turf) in Miami.
Former Red Sox World Series standout Derek Lowe (2-1, 2.46 ERA) is the Dodgers' starter, while Andrew Miller (1-2, 7.94 ERA) gets the pill for the surprising Marlins.
At BetUS Sportsbook, the Dodgers are listed as a -135 favorite (Florida is +115), with a total of 9.5 runs (the Under is -115, the Over is -105).
Here are some of the MLB Baseball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
(NOTE: These trends may also revert back to the 2007 season)
* LA has won four of its last five games
* LA has won four of its last five games OVER the total
* LA has lost seven of its last eight road games
* LA has played four of its last six road games UNDER the total
* FLA has won six of its last nine games
* FLA has played five of its last six games UNDER the total
* FLA has won four of its last six home games
In the HEAD-TO-HEAD baseball betting trends:
* FLA has won three of the last four meetings
* Four of the last six meetings have gone OVER the total
* LA has won five of the last seven meetings as the road team
* Six of the last nine meetings in Miami have gone UNDER the total
Yes, the Florida Marlins are still in first place, a game and a half ahead of the second-place Mets. part of that is obviously the fact that they have won eight of 13 road games. In this one, back at home in Dolphin Stadium under circumstances that might bring some more fans through the turnstiles.
Run production slowed down just a bit in the recent series with Milwaukee, in which Florida put just nine runners across the plate in three games. Mike Jacobs, who was supplying an awful lot of power, is questionable for this game with a bad finger.
Andrew Miller is a left-hander who has great ability, but has not come close to matching that with production. He really isn't ready to pitch in the big leagues, and when somebody allows more than two batters per inning to reach base, we simply can't support him, not matter how surprising his team is. The Dodgers have won four of Derek Lowe's five starts, and he's allowing about half as many guys to reach base as Miller.
Los Angeles seems better off as the favorite (9-7) than they are as a dog (3-6), and we're much more comfortable with them, even laying the price of -135 in the BetUS Major League Baseball betting odds.
JAY'S PLAY: LOS ANGELES (-135)
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(Charles Jay of http://www.eBookies.com touches all the bases as a regular contributor to the BetUS Locker Room)