Posted on
5/14/2008 4:36:24 PM
MLB Baseball Betting - Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
By D.S Williamson
Tom Glavine, starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves, is looking for his first win of the young sports betting season. Glavine won over two-hundred games with the Atlanta Braves from 1987 to 2002 before leaving the Braves and then coming back to them this year. He’s not nearly close to being the automatic BetUS online baseball betting wager that he used to be going 0 and 1 so far this season out of 6 games. That’s 5 no decisions. Glavine’s ERA in those 6 games is 4.03.
The Phillies will counter with right-hander Brett Myers. Myers, by his own admission, can’t put together two good back-to-back games. That makes Myers a susceptible play against in BetUS online sportsbook wagering. Myers is 2 and 3 on the season in eight games with an ERA of 5.33.
Here are the BetUS online sportsbook betting odds for this game.
Atlanta Braves
Tom Glavine – L + 1 ½ - 165 + 125 O 10 - 105
Philadelphia Phillies
Brett Myers – R - 1 ½ + 145 - 145 U 10 - 115
Here are a few online betting trends that might help us find a wager in this game.
The Atlanta Braves are 7 and 19 in their last 26 games on the road.
The Atlanta Braves are 2 and 5 in Tom Glavine’s last 7 starts as the underdog.
The Atlanta Braves are 0 and 5 in Tom Glavine’s last 5 starts on the road.
The Philadelphia Phillies are 6 and 1 in their last 7 games as the favorite.
The Philadelphia Phillies are 1 and 4 in Brett Myers last 5 starts at home versus the Atlanta Braves.
The trends are all over the place in this one which leads me to believe that making an online wager on either Glavine or Myers on the run-line isn’t the way to go.
It’s also difficult to take either the Atlanta Braves at + 125 to win the game straight-up, when they haven’t been doing very well on the road lately, or the Philadelphia Phillies at – 145 when the Phillies never step it up for Myers at home against the Braves.
What does that leave me with? The BetUS over/under online bet of 10 runs.
The question now is whether or not I believe this thing will go over or under. The truth is that Myers might have a good game - - it might not be enough for him to win it - - but it might be good enough for him to keep it close.
That means that Glavine just need to give up four or less runs in this thing, right around his ERA, the middle relief and closers need to get the job done, and I make money on the BetUS under of 10 runs.
That’s where my money will be going - - on the BetUS online sportsbook wager that has the under at 10 runs.
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