Up to Triple Crown Free Picks

posted August 10, 2007 at 18:34 in Triple Crown Free Picks

We are now right into the teeth of juvenile racing and bettors that want to get a winning edge on the masses need to get a heads up on the new and potent studs that are appearing nationally.

 

Posse, not the kind that T O or P Diddy will bring, but the son of Silver Deputy, has led the league through August 4 and figures to be solid the rest of the year.

He has had 25 runners, 13 winners, and his top earner has banked over $200,000 and Posse’s runners may still be disrespected on the board.

 

The stud only stands for $12,500, a pittance in today’s market, and he never really made it to the top of the mountain as a racer. He spend most of his career in stakes but never won a Grade 1 and his last victory came in a $60K stakes at the Fair Grounds.

 

High profile stallions like Harlan’s Holiday, Vindication, Aldebaran and Sky Mesa figure to all excel as the summer proceeds but let’s take a look at some bargain studs because there is where there could be value at the windows.

 

Breeders can get to Van Nistelrooy for a modest $7,500 and he is off to a solid start as a first-crop sire. He has had 28 runners and 9 have come back to reach the winner’s circle. One runner cashed in a Stakes Futurity, another was Group 2 placed in France, and yet another got a slice in a Hollywood Park Stakes.

 

On the track Van Nistelrooy was a blur. He won his first 3 races, all at about 7 furlongs on grass and was out of the money only once, in the BC Juvenile at Arlington.

 

The clue for bettors here is when the sons and daughters of Van Nistelrooy hit the turf. They could be totally dismissed and that is the time to pounce.

 

A diamond in the rough could very well be Premeditation. Two of his first 3 runners won and is a sales item in the breeding shed as only a $1,500 stud commander.

 

On the track, Premeditation took his juvenile debut going away while posting a 76 Beyer and he ended up winning several stakes in the Southwest at places like Sunland Park and Lone Star.

 

If his runners show up in an abbreviated sprint, say 4 and a half or 5 furlongs, bettors will be wise to pounce and pounce early and often.

 

The last stallion that can offer value to players, and this is for the gamblers in Canada especially, is Storm Victory.

 

Storm Victory is an unraced son of Storm Cat and he also only commands a $1,500 stud fee. Even though he never got to the track, the blood is there as 3 siblings earned $200,000 on the track including over $400,000 earner Count Di Savoya.

 

Three of Storm Victory’s first 4 starters won including Hastings debut winner Surprisal, who handled the off going in game style to win in a photo.

If somebody spits on the track and a Storm Victory first timer is in the field, that may be the time to double up. 

 

You always have to learn in this game and part of that is keeping up with the young studs.