Posted on 10/20/2007 9:57:32 AM

NFL Wagering – Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Houston Texans (+1.5)

By Eric Williams

The Tennessee Titans, (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 0-5 O/U) are ranked 24th in overall offense, averaging 302.6 yards and 18.8 yards per game. Tennessee is ranked sixth in overall defense, allowing just 281.4 yards and 14.4 points per game. The Titans enter this matchup coming off a close 13-10 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Houston Texans, (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U) are ranked 11th in overall offense, averaging 342.5 yards and 22.2 points per game. Houston is ranked 15th in overall defense, allowing 328.5 yards and 22.7 points per game. The Texans are coming off a resounding 37-17 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:

Key Titans Trends

The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. loss.

The Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. AFC South.

Key Texans Trends

The Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

The Texans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 4-0 in Titans last four games on grass.

The Under is 5-0 in Titans last five games overall.

The Over is 4-0 in Texans last four vs. AFC South.

The Over is 4-0 in Texans last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Houston.

The Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

The Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Analysis: The Titans are far and away the better defensive team in this matchup, but quarterback Vince Young may not be at full strength if he plays at all. Take the Texans to win this divisional matchup and cover the spread in the process.

NFL Free Picks: Texans 20 Titans 17

01:00 PM EST NFL Odds

Tennessee Titans -1½ -110

Houston Texans +1½ -110

Over 38½ -110

Under 38½ -110

> > Check Week 7 Odds Here

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