Posted on 10/13/2007 10:49:26 PM
Week 6 NFL Free Picks – Tennessee Titans (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

The Tennessee Titans, (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 0-4 O/U) improved to 3-1 after beating the Atlanta Falcons 20-13 in a game that can best be described as “tortuous” to watch. The Titans are ranked 24th in overall offense and fifth in defense.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U) have looked pretty good the last few weeks while compiling a 3-2 record on the season. Tampa Bay’s 12th-ranked defense has fueled the team’s recent resurgence and quarterback Jeff Garcia has been better than the Bucs’ 25th-ranked offense would indicate.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Football Betting Picks:

Key Titans Trends

The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog.

The Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

The Titans are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Buccaneers Trends

The Buccaneers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games in Week Six.

The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on Grass.

The Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Key Totals Trends

The Over is 5-1 in Titans last six games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

The Over is 4-1 in Titans last five games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

The Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last five games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

None available.

Analysis: Both teams are playing wonderful defense at the moment which should make for a low-scoring affair that I expect the Titans to cover the spread in. Take the Titans to cover the spread here with a legitimate chance of winning outright.

NFL Free Picks: Buccaneers 21 Titans 20

01:00 PM EST NFL Odds

Tennessee Titans +3 -125

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 +105

Over 37½ -110

Under 37½ -110

Week 6 NFL Odds Podcast:

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