Posted on
10/13/2007 10:57:16 PM
Week 6 NFL Odds: Houston Texans (+6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5)
By Eric Williams
The Houston Texans, (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U) beat the Miami Dolphins 22-19 last week to improve to 3-2 on the season. The Texans are ranked 15th in overall offense thanks to the addition of quarterback Matt Schaub and 11th in overall defense thanks to the team’s commitment to defense, particularly the defensive line.
The Jacksonville Jaguars, (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U) moved to 3-1 after pounding the struggling Kansas City Chiefs 17-7, which, ironically, is the team’s overall ranking on offense and defense respectively.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Texans Trends
The Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Texans are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Key Jaguars Trends
The Jaguars are 7-1-2 ATS in their last ten home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Texans last four vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 4-0 in Texans last four road games.
The Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last four vs. a team with a winning record.
The Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last four games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Jacksonville.
The Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
Analysis: The fact of the matter is that both of these teams are almost evenly matched and this game should be decided by a field goal at the most. Take the road Texans to cover the spread.
NFL Free Picks: Jaguars 17 Texans 16
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Houston Texans +6½ -110
Jacksonville Jaguars -6½ -110
Over 37 -110
Under 37 -110
Week 6 NFL Odds Podcast:
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