Posted on 9/20/2007 8:09:11 PM

College Football Betting: Pac-10 Is Still About Overs

By D.S. Williamson

Pac-10 NCAA college football betting is still about one thing - - overs. This isn’t to say that every Pac-10 game, or every game where a Pac-10 team is playing, is bound to go over. However, the majority of games where a Pac-10 team is involved do go over. And, they go over in the strangest ways.

For instance, the Arizona Wildcats began the season versus Brigham Young. That was an over game waiting to happen. Of course, the Cats scored only 7 points in the game and they lost to the Cougars 20 to 7.

What did the Arizona Wildcats do in their next two games? They won at Northern Arizona by a score of 45 to 27 and then lost to New Mexico on the road by a score of 29 to 27. Those were both over games for the Wildcats. This weekend they play Cal.

The California Golden Bears, by the way, have been involved in three straight over games - 45-31 vs. Tennessee, 34-28 vs. Colorado State, 42 – 12 vs. Louisiana Tech. The BetUS total NCAA football betting line on the Arizona vs. California game this weekend is 55.5. Considering how bad Arizona’s defense is playing, Cal has a good chance of getting three-quarters of the over number by itself, and Arizona will score in this game. The over should definitely hit in this one.

The Oregon Ducks, in traditional Pac-10 fashion, have thrown three overs in their three games this year. The more important thing to remember about the Ducks is that they only played defense versus the Michigan Wolverines. In their other two games, the scores were 48 to 27 versus Houston and 52 to 21 versus Fresno State. Now, they play the Stanford Cardinal who have given up a whopping 45 in their loss to UCLA and an equally whopping 37 in their loss to San Jose State. The BetUS total college football betting line in the Oregon vs. Stanford game is 60. Will that be a problem? Maybe, but it might not have anything to do with Oregon. Stanford can’t score and is easily the worst team in the Pac-10. Still, Oregon could throw up another 60 or close to 60. That means this is another over game.

The Arizona State Sun Devils have won their three games this year in over fashion. They beat San Jose State 45 to 3, Colorado 33 to 14 and San Diego State 34 to 13. They get to play Oregon State this weekend. Oregon State has scored 21 points, 3 points, and 61 points in their three games so far. Because this is a Pac-10 match-up expect the Beavers to play more towards the 21 than the 3. The BetUS total betting line in this game is 53.5. Expect the Sun Devils and Beavers to crush that line.

The USC Trojans get to beat up on the Washington State Cougars this weekend. Everybody knows what USC did last week versus the Nebraska Cornhuskers and nobody is confused with the Cougars being as good as Nebraska. However, USC tends to play down to their competition as evidenced by their lackluster performance versus the Idaho Vandals. Washington State has scored 21, 45 and 45 points in their last three games. The 64.5 BetUS total betting line looks to go down in this one, right? Not right. Washington State’s defense is very, very good and the Cougars won’t allow the Trojans to average over 11 yards per rush like Nebraska did. USC will win this one, but they may not score more than 35 to do it and the Cougars shouldn’t even touch that 35 number. That means an under game.

The BetUS total betting line in the UCLA Bruins versus Washington Huskies game is 47.5. This, like the USC game, is a difficult one to call. The main reason is that UCLA played so poorly last week versus the Utah Utes that it’s almost impossible to get a read on how they will play this weekend. The Huskies did well versus Ohio State for 3 quarters and then folded terribly. Ohio State is a much better team than UCLA. So, there isn’t much to go on in regards to the Huskies game versus the Buckeyes. Take notes during this game and then use the notes to place future over/under wagers on Pac-10 games.

Until next week, good luck!

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