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posted January 9, 2008 at 18:01 in NCAA B Articles

NCAA Basketball Wagering ‘Lock Alert’ – Duke at Temple

The Duke Blue Devils, (11-1 SU, 6-5 ATS, 5-6 O/U) are looking like ACC and national title contenders with their boatload of blue-chip players that have left most of their opponents crumpled in their wake this season.

The Temple Owls, (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS, 4-8 O/U) have an absolutely fine head coach in former University of Pennsylvania longtime head coach, Fran Dunphy, but are sorely missing the special brand of magic that former head coach John Chaney brought to the table.

The Blue Devils beat Cornell 81-67 on Sunday to get back to their winning ways after losing to a feisty Pittsburgh team 65-64 in overtime on Dec. 20.

The Owls are 2-1 in their last three games but lost to defending national champion Florida 86-69 in their last contest on Dec. 29.

The Blue Devils are averaging 86.3 points per game on 49.3 percent shooting while allowing 63.3 points per game on 40.7 percent shooting.

The Owls are averaging 71.3 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting while limiting their opponents to 70.2 points per game on 43.6 percent shooting.

The Blue Devils have four players averaging double figures in scoring, led by senior guard DeMarcus Nelson (13.8 ppg) while the Owls are led by one of the best scorers in the nation in junior forward Dionte Christmas, (20.9 ppg).

Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NCAA Basketball Betting Free Pick.

Key Blue Devils Trends

The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine Wednesday games.

Key Owls Trends

The Owls are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.

The Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a S.U. loss.

The Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 8-2 in Blue Devils last ten road games following three or more consecutive home games.

The Over is 6-2 in Blue Devils last eight games following a ATS loss.

The Under is 6-1 in Owls last seven games following a ATS loss.

The Over is 10-2-1 in Owls last 13 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

There are no trends available.

Analysis: The Blue Devils may be 11-1, but they will not, repeat, not, cover the spread tonight against the Owls for one simple reason – Fran Dunphy. The Owls haven’t been beaten by 15 points this season and I see absolutely no reason whatsoever to believe they will be in this contest. Take the Owls to cover the spread easily.

NCAAB Free Picks: Temple + 14 Points

07:00 PM EST NCAA Basketball Odds

Duke -14 -110

Temple +14 -110

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