Posted on
1/24/2008 7:25:42 PM
NCAA Basketball Wagering – Dayton Flyers at Xavier Musketeers
By Eric Williams
The Dayton Flyers, (14-2 SU, 7-4 ATS, 9-2 O/U) lost their last game to the University of Massachusetts at home, 82-71 on Jan. 16, breaking their 13-game winning streak while the Xavier Musketeers, (15-4 SU, 7-8 ATS, 8-7 O/U) have won seven of their last 10 games, including a 74-66 victory over George Washington on Saturday.
Dayton has won its last four road games but will be without junior forward Charles Little, last year's Atlantic 10 Sixth Man of the Year, who was sidelined with a fracture in his right foot.
Xavier, the general preseason pick to win the A-10, has won four straight at home and has one of the most versatile offenses in the country as six Musketeers average in double figures. Xavier is 13-0 this season when four or more players score in double figures.
Here’s a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NCAAB Betting Free Picks:
Key Flyers Trends
The Flyers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss.
The Flyers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
The Flyers are 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday games.
Key Musketeers Trends
The Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Musketeers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven Thursday games.
The Musketeers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-1 in Flyers last six games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Under is 5-1 in Flyers last six Thursday games.
The Over is 5-1 in Musketeers last six games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Over is 13-3 in Musketeers last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
The Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
The Flyers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Xavier.
Analysis: Not much guess-work to be done here NCAA Basketball bettors. While the Xavier Muskeeters are playing at home and have the deeper team, Dayton has the best player on either team in senior guard Brian Roberts, (20.1 ppg). Take the Flyers to cover the high spread despite being on the road.
NCAAB Free Picks: Dayton +11½ Points
08:00 PM EST College Basketball Point Spreads
Dayton +11½ -110
Xavier -11½ -110
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