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posted November 24, 2007 at 19:37 in NFL Articles

For the Tennessee Titans (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS), a win over the slumping Cincinnati Bengals (3-7 SU, 3-6-1 ATS) is essential to keeping up in the race for both the AFC South title and a wildcard spot. The two teams meet at 1 PM ET on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati (artificial turf). In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, Tennessee is listed at -1.5, with the total posted at 46.5 points.

Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* TENN has covered 15 of its last 22 games

* TENN has covered two of its last 7 games

* TENN has covered nine of its last 11 road games

* TENN has won six of its last eight road games SU

* TENN has played seven UNDERS in its last ten games

* TENN has played seven OVERS in its last 10 road games

* CINCY is 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine games

* CINCY is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games

* CINCY is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 home games

* CINCY is 1-8 ATS in its last nine as a home dog

* CINCY has played four OVERS in its last six games

* TENN has won nine of the last 11 meetings SU

* TENN has covered four of the last six meetings

* TENN is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games at Cincinnati

* TENN has won five straight games at Cincinnati

* Five of the last six meetings have gone OVER the total

* The total has gone OVER in 14 of the last 19 meetings at Cincinnati

We were truly disappointed with the Titans on Monday night, but Vince Young threw for 305 yards - a career high - and that was an encouraging sign. And just because they lost in Denver, you can't throw this team's road prowess out the window. part of the problem is that the Titans were without Alfred Haynesworth, and a lot could be said for the fact that he is the key to the run defense. Obviously Cincinnati is not that imposing on the ground, so Carson Palmer is going to be leading a largely one-dimensional attack. That's not altogether horrible news, because Chris Henry (12 catches for 180 yards in two games) is back to give him a third receiver. But this also allows defensive backs to sit back on Palmer's passes, and against Arizona he had four passes picked off - two of which were returned by Antrel Rolle for touchdowns.

The line on Palmer is that he'll produce numbers, but will not necessarily get much support from the rest of the team. Kenny Watson has been a nice find, with 4.5 yards a carry and 33 receptions, but he doesn't provide the every-down ground pound that Rudi Johnson did when he was healthy. And on the other side of the line, there is little chance the Bengals are going to do too much to slow down what Tennessee likes to do - which is run the ball - not when you are 27th in the league allowing 126.5 yards a game. Disparate trends are at work here as well, with Tennessee having covered nine of its last 11 road games, while Cincinnati is one for its last nine as a home dog.

At 3-7, Cincinnati has vastly underachieved, compared to pre-season expectations. The chemistry is not there, and neither is the incentive. We prefer the team with something to play for, the well-coached, disciplined Titans, the 1.5-point favorite in the BetUS NFL betting odds.

BetUS NFL betting odds: TENNESSEE -1.5, Total 46.5

NOTABLE STAT: Cincinnati is 31st in the NFL in defense and gives up 4.5 yards per rush

KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Tennessee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games

(For more useful stats and trends, visit our special Matchup Tool)

JAY'S PLAY: TENNESSEE **

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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