Posted on
12/20/2007 5:58:17 PM
NFL Wagering – Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints
By Eric Williams
While the Philadelphia Eagles have been officially eliminated from the postseason, the New Orleans Saints need to win their final two contests to have any hope of securing a spot in the playoffs – and that begins with a victory over Philadelphia.
New Orleans however, will be facing a feisty Eagles team that recorded a convincing win over the Dallas Cowboys on the road last week.
The Saints are looking for their third consecutive win in this matchup and are coming off a solid win over the Arizona Cardinals, 31-24 last week. Quarterback Drew Brees is back to looking like a perennial Pro-Bowler after completing 26 of 30 passes for 315 yards and two touchdowns.
Philadelphia, (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, 6-8 O/U), also has some off-field problems as starting quarterback Donovan McNabb recently went on record to say he doesn’t feel very loved by the Eagles franchise, not to mention the thousands and thousands of fair-weather Eagles fans in the tri-state area.
Philadelphia is ranked 8th in overall offense, averaging 350.2 yards and 20.1 points per game and ninth in overall defense, holding opponents to 311.8 yards and just 19.1 points per game.
The New Orleans Saints, (7-7 SU, 6-8 ATS, 8-6 O/U) are ranked 5th in overall offense, averaging 359.3 yards and 23.6 points per game and 27th in overall defense allowing 347.1 yards and 22.6 points per game.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Betting Free Picks.
Key Eagles Trends
The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog.
The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Key Saints Trends
The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games in Week 16.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0 in Eagles last six games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Under is 4-1 in Eagles last five games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Saints last five games following a S.U. win.
The Over is 4-0 in Saints last four games as a home favorite.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
Analysis: The Eagles may have surprised the Cowboys last week, but I expect them to revert back to their old inconsistent selves against the Saints this week. Take New Orleans to cover the spread while winning outright.
NFL Free Picks: New Orleans -3 Points/Under 47 Total Points
01:00 PM EST NFL Betting
Philadelphia Eagles +3 +105
New Orleans Saints -3 -125
Over 47 -110
Under 47 -110
> > Check Week 16 Odds Here
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