Posted on
1/21/2008 6:38:05 PM
NCAA Basketball Wagering – Texas at Oklahoma St.
By Eric Williams
The Texas Longhorns, (14-3 SU, 6-6 ATS, 5-7 O/U) survived a big scare in their last contest, beating a mediocre Colorado team 69-67 at home on Saturday after losing to Missouri in their previous game, 97-84 on the road on Jan. 12.
The Oklahoma St. Cowboys, (10-7 SU, 3-6 ATS, 7-2 O/U) have dropped two straight coming into this contest, including a dismal 73-66 road loss to Iowa State on Saturday.
Both teams have failed to cover the spread in two straight games while the Longhorns have failed to cover in five of their last six overall.
Led by freshman forward James Anderson, (15.5 ppg), the Cowboys are averaging 72.9 points per game on 44.2 percent shooting while allowing 67.0 points per game on 43.7 percent shooting.
Texas is led by their backcourt combination of sophomore guard D.J. Augustin, (20.5 ppg) and A.J. Abrams, (18.4 ppg) and averages 73.4 points per game on 45.1 percent shooting while allowing 70.4 points per game on 41.9 percent shooting.
Oklahoma State is 9-0 at home this season while Texas is 2-1 on the road.
Here’s a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NCAAB Betting Free Picks:
Key Longhorns Trends
The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Longhorns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
The Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
Key Cowboys Trends
The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
The Cowboys are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
The Cowboys are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Big 12.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last six road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last five overall.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
The Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
The Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Oklahoma St..
Analysis: If you looked at almost every other statistic besides each team’s straight up record, NCAA basketball bettors will realize that the Cowboys are actually better than the Longhorns. Take the Oklahoma State Cowboys to pick up an absolutely huge win at home tonight while covering the spread just barely.
NCAAB Free Picks: Oklahoma State +2½ Points
09:00 PM EST NCAAB Betting Odds
Texas -2½ -110
Oklahoma State +2½ -110
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