Posted on
12/28/2007 5:37:20 PM
NBA Betting Action – Nuggets Take On High-Scoring Warriors
By Eric Williams
While the Denver Nuggets, (17-11 SU, 13-15 ATS 14-14 O/U) and Golden State Warriors, (17-12 SU, 14-15 ATS, 13-15-1 O/U) are two of the highest scoring teams in the league, neither team can be considered a legitimate title contender because of their respective lack of defense.
Still, both teams have managed to post winning records so far because of their high-powered offenses. The Warriors are averaging a whopping 108.1 points per game to the Nuggets’ 106.8 points per game.
Each team has won two straight games coming into this matchup, with Denver trouncing the Milwaukee Bucks 125-105 on Wednesday and Golden State beating the Minnesota Timberwolves 105-101 the same night.
Nuggets forward Carmelo Anthony has been on a tear recently, winning the Western Conference player of the week award after averaging 32.5 points and 12.5 rebounds in his last four games.
The Warriors are getting an MVP-type of season from point guard Baron Davis, (21.9 ppg, 8.0 apg) though it is captain Stephen Jackson, (21.0 ppg) that is Golden State’s heart and soul.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my analysis and NBA Betting Free Picks.
Key Nuggets Trends
The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
The Nuggets are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than ten points.
Key Warriors Trends
The Warriors are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.
The Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games following a ATS loss.
The Warriors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last four games following a SU win of more than ten points.
The Under is 8-1 in Nuggets last nine games following a S.U. win.
The Under is 4-0-1 in Warriors last five games following a S.U. win.
The Under is 4-0-1 in Warriors last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Golden State.
The Over is 9-2 in the last eleven meetings.
The Favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Analysis: This contest is going to be another high-scoring affair between these clubs and one without any defense whatsoever. Take the ‘Over’ first and foremost NBA bettors – and the Nuggets to cover the spread with center Marcus Camby making the game’s only defensive play to seal Denver’s victory.
NBA Free Picks: Over 228 Total Points/Denver Nuggets +4 Points
10:35 PM EST NBA Betting Odds
Denver Nuggets +4 -110
Golden State Warriors -4 -110
Over 228 -110
Under 228 -110
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