Posted on
1/30/2008 6:06:44 PM
NBA Wagering Action – Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies
By Eric Williams
Despite having one of the most talented rosters in all of basketball, the Denver Nuggets, (26-18 SU, 22-22 ATS, 22-22 O/U) are one of the most perplexing – and inconsistent - teams in all of basketball.
The Nuggets have lost two games – and five consecutive road contests - coming into this contest, including a 117-93 shellacking on Monday by the streaking New Orleans Hornets.
While the Memphis Grizzlies, (13-32 SU, 21-23-1 ATS, 21-24 O/U) have struggled to pick up victories this season, the Grizz have been one of the better ATS teams despite their SU shortcomings in head coach Marc Iavaroni’s first season.
Memphis is just 3-7 in their last 10 games and were routed by the Dallas Mavericks 103-84 on Monday.
The good news for the Nuggets is that they may have their second leading scorer back on the floor tonight in Carmelo Anthony (25.5 ppg).
Here’s a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NBA Betting Free Picks:
Key Nuggets Trends
The Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400.
The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a S.U. loss.
Key Grizzlies Trends
The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss.
The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss of more than ten points.
The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-1 in Nuggets last seven games following a SU loss of more than ten points.
The Under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. NBA Southwest.
The Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last four games playing on one days rest.
The Under is 8-1 in Grizzlies last nine Wednesday games.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
The Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Analysis: The Nuggets have been horrific on the road recently, but they should find that the mediocre Grizzlies are just the tonic they need to cure their road woes. Take the Nuggets to destroy the Grizzlies tonight.
NBA Free Picks: Nuggets 108 Grizzlies 99
08:05 PM EST Basketball Lines
Denver Nuggets -2½ -110
Memphis Grizzlies +2½ -110
Over 217 -110
Under 217 -110
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