Posted on
10/12/2007 4:53:13 PM
MLB Betting Odds: ALCS Game 1 Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox
By Eric Williams
The Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Indians hook up for Game 1 of this ALCS after defeating their respective first round opponents quite handily.
Josh Beckett, Boston’s 20-game winner will take on Cleveland ace C.C. Sabathia in what will likely turn out to be a typical pitcher’s duel.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Baseball Betting Pick:
Key Indians Trends
The Indians are 7-0 in Sabathia's last 7 starts.
The Indians are 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 starts on Grass.
The Indians are 5-0 in Sabathia's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Key Red Sox Trends
The Red Sox are 7-1 in Beckett's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Red Sox are 5-1 in Beckett's last 6 starts.
The Red Sox are 5-1 in Beckett's last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-0 in Sabathia's last 5 road starts.
The Under is 7-1-1 in Sabathia's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 8-0 in Beckett's last 8 Friday starts.
The Under is 4-0 in Beckett's last 4 starts with 8 or more days of rest.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 5-1-1 in Sabathia's last 7 starts vs. Red Sox.
The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
The Indians are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Indians starting pitcher C.C. Sabathia is 19-7 in 34 starts covering 241.0 innings. Sabathia has 209 strikeouts, 37 walks and an ERA of 3.21.
Red Sox starting pitcher Josh Beckett is 20-7 in 30 starts covering 200.2 innings. Beckett has 194 strikeouts, 40 walks and a 3.27 ERA.
Analysis: While Sabathia has been just as good for Cleveland as Beckett has been for Boston this season - and owns a slightly better ERA than the Red Sox’ ace – I say go with the Red Sox to win this home game behind a determined Beckett and a superior bullpen.
MLB Free Picks: Red Sox 3 Indians 2
07:00 PM EST MLB Odds
Cleveland Indians C.C. Sabathia - L +145
Boston Red Sox Josh Beckett –R -165
ALCS Best of 7
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