Posted on
4/3/2008 3:12:49 PM
MLB Baseball Betting Odds Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins
By Eric Williams
The Los Angeles Angels, (2-1) made my selection in the BetUS Sportsbook yesterday look good by beating the feisty Minnesota Twins 1-0, behind a spectacular performance from starter Joe Saunders, but will likely need more of the same when the face a Twins team that is apparently going to be better than advertised this season despite their 2-1 record coming into this matchup.
Veteran hurler, Ervin Santana, tonight’s starter for the Angels, the reigning champs in the AL West, is hoping to bounce back from a poor 2007 season in which he went just 7-14 in 26 starts and two relief appearances with 126 strikeouts, 58 walks and a 5.76 ERA after going 28-16 over the previous two season with a 4.42 ERA. Santana also allowed a team-high 26 home runs.
The Twins will send young right-hander Kevin Slowey to the mound and hope the 23-year-old with the good breaking balls can build upon the success he had in his rookie season last year.
Slowey went 4-1 last season in 11 starts and two relief appearances, recording 47 strikeouts, 11 walks and a 4.72 ERA.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my MLB Gambling Free Picks:
Key Angels Trends
The Angels are 7-2 in their last nine Thursday games.
The Angels are 2-5 in their last seven vs. American League Central.
The Angels are 1-4 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Key Twins Trends
The Twins are 5-1 in their last six vs. American League West.
The Twins are 5-2 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Twins are 1-6 in their last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1-1 in Angels last seven on field turf.
The Under is 5-1-1 in Angels last seven road games.
The Under is 4-1-1 in Angels last six road games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Under is 5-0 in Twins last five Thursday games.
The Under is 7-3 in Twins last ten overall.
The Under is 18-8-1 in Twins last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Angels are 5-1 in the last six meetings.
The Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Minnesota.
Analysis: Simple and plain, the Angels will make it three consecutive wins by knocking Slowey around while getting another solid pitching performance, this time from Santana who desperately wants to get back to the excellence he displayed his first two seasons, but got away from last year.
MLB Free Picks: Angels 7 Twins 3
01:10 PM EST MLB Odds
Los Angeles Angels
Ervin Santana - R -1½ +130
Minnesota Twins
Kevin Slowey - R +1½ -150
Over 9½ -120
Under 9½ EV
American League
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