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posted March 9, 2009 at 15:30 EST in Poker School Omaha

Bluffing Opportunities in Omaha Hi-Lo

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Omaha Hi-Lo 8 or Better is not really much of a bluffing game. There are two major reasons: first, with four cards in a hand, players can easily find an excuse to call before the flop, and second, it’s not hard to make a decent hand when you can pick and choose between nine cards (five on the board and four in your hand). If there’s a really high chance someone made a good hand, it’s generally a bad idea to bluff.

However, there are a few specific situations where bluffing is profitable. The most important point by far is that the huge majority of your bluffs should come on hi-only boards. The most common bluffing opportunity is when the flop comes with two or three high cards, especially if a straight or a flush is possible. (Avoid paired flops because it’s much easier for someone to have trips than the straight or the flush, but other players are usually equally scared of all three.) For example, an early position player raises, two others call and you call with A237. The flop comes KJT. The initial bettor makes a continuation bet and everyone folds to you. You may well want to raise here, if the original bettor doesn’t have the straight or a set, you could take down a decent pot risking only two small bets.

Another good bluffing situation occurs when it looks like there will be a lo on the flop, but the turn and river are both high cards. Let’s say the flop is 34T and there’s a lot of action. The turn is a J and the river is a K. No player would have stayed in just for a runner runner straight draw, so unless someone 'backdoored' it, you have a good chance of stealing the pot if you bet. The only other hands that might call you are sets. And because the pot is likely quite large, probably over nine or ten bets, you only need your bluff to be successful 10% of the time to show a profit (a simple pot odds calculation).

Of course, bluffs generally have a higher chance of success against fewer players, but in Omaha on a hi-only board it can be a little different. You can bluff against a number of opponents, because usually everyone will be sure that someone has the nuts. Take the situation above, for example. If five players see the river, yes there’s a good chance someone makes the backdoor straight, but if not, who’s going to call with two pair or even a set? Many players will simply “know” they’re beat, because it’s Omaha and you need the nuts to win.

Games with expert players are actually much better for bluffing. Although experts may be better at detecting bluffs, they also play much tighter (especially in Omaha 8 or Better) and fold a lot more postflop. Also, playing deceptively is much more important against them. Against expert players, your bluffing frequency should be similar to what it would be in a Hold’em game, because good players adjust their hand strength appropriately to having four hole cards instead of two.