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With the 2008 NFL draft scripted in ink, it's now time to turn the page and get to business. The NFL betting season is just a few months away so let's sharpen our pencils and prepare for kickoff to gain an edge over the online sportsbooks.
If you wager on NFL action, or any other sport for that matter, you most likely already know that knowledge is power and key to beating point spreads, especially early in the regular season when oddmakers often release soft lines to be posted in the BetUS NFL odds section.
Knowing the strength of all 32 teams before oddsmakers zero in on sharp lines will allow you to detect and take advantage of missed spreads early in the upcoming NFL wagering campaign.
So, do your homework now and study all team's draft selections, off-season moves and statistics from last year. Then, form an analysis for each club based on your studies. Again, knowledge is power, and you can never have enough of it in the sports betting industry.
In addition to doing your homework early, there's several strong ATS (against the spread) trends you should be mindful of before investing in NFL opening week action.
Be careful when banking on home cooking during the first week of the regular season, because NFL home teams in Week 1 are just 31-42-7 ATS since 2003.
Also, don't get choked on chalk. Ironically, favorites are also just 31-42-7 ATS in the opening week over the past five seasons. Luke-warm favorites priced between -3½ and -6½ are only 8-15 ATS during the same span.
Home favorites are 21-32-3 ATS in the first week since 1999. Clubs playing in front of home folks as favorites priced between -3½ and -6½ are just 6-13 ATS in Week 1 games since 2003.
NFL clubs that played in last year's postseason can be a dangerous selection when the regular season begins. Teams that made the playoffs the previous season versus clubs in Week 1 that failed to reach postseason are just 16-23-3 ATS over the past five years. Home teams in the same scenario are 7-14-1 ATS during the same span.
These are just a few tips and ATS trends for Week 1 helpful in making your NFL opening week a winning one as we countdown the days to kickoff of the 2008-09 season. Remember: Crunch the numbers and study early, because knowledge truly is power. Good luck!
"Spectacular achievements are always preceded by unspectacular preparation."
- Roger Staubach
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