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posted March 21, 2008 at 15:57 in NBA Free Picks

NBA Odds – Seattle Supersonics at Los Angeles Lakers

by Eric Williams

The Seattle Supersonics, (16-52 SU, 32-34-2 ATS, 30-38 O/U), are very young and have played like it all season long while taking their lumps like most young NBA teams. The Sonics have dropped nine straight games in the BetUS.com Sportsbook including a 110-98 loss to the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday.

The Los Angeles Lakers, (46-21 SU, 40-25-1 ATS, 32-34 O/U), have won six of their last ten games in the BetUS.com Sportsbook but have picked up two consecutive wins without big men Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum, including an emphatic 106-95 win over the Utah Jazz that snapped Utah’s 19-game home winning streak.

"The important thing for us is to get off to a good start. We were able to do that and keep the crowd out of it for the most part," said Lakers MVP candidate Kobe Bryant, who scored 27 points.

Bryant, who is second in the league in scoring at 28.2 points, has carried the Lakers in their last two outings while Seattle has allowed at least 110 points in each of its last eight games.

"If we play a little bit better defense we'll be in a lot of games," rookie forward Jeff Green said.

The Lakers have gone just 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games while the Sonics are 4-5-1 against the spread over the same span.

Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my analysis and NBA Betting Picks.

The Lakers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
The Lakers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 Friday games.
The Over is 4-0 in SuperSonics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
The Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
The SuperSonics are 5-1-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
The SuperSonics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The SuperSonics are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
The SuperSonics are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.

Analysis: With the outcome of this game already in the books, the question becomes, ‘Do the Lakers cover this spread?’ I say … they win by twenty-plus points against the defenseless Sonics tonight.

NBA Free Picks: Lakers -18½ Points/Under 222 Total Points

10:35 PM EST NBA Odds
Seattle Supersonics +18½ -110
LA Lakers -18½ -110
Over 222 -110
Under 222 -110

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