posted May 7, 2008 at 16:31 in MLB Articles
MLB Wagering Free Picks – Royals Host Red-Hot Angels
The Los Angeles Angels, (22-13, 14-17-4 O/U) may want to relocate their franchise to the Midwest, seeing as how they are nearly unbeatable when they play the Kansas City Royals, (14-18, 10-22 O/U) in Kansas City.
The Angels beat the Royals 5-3 on Tuesday,(as predicted in the BetUS Locker Room) to record their 17th win in their last 21 games against the Royals in Kansas City, beating their AL counterparts and come into tonight’s matchup looking for more of the same, though they will undoubtedly have a tougher time going up against talented Royals starter Zack Greinke, (3-1, 1.47), though he has struggled in his career against the Angels, going 0-2 with an 8.49 ERA against Los Angeles in three career appearances, including two starts.
Greinke however, has been one of the best pitchers in either league this season, with the second-best ERA in the American League. Greinke limited the Texas Rangers to just two runs on four hits in seven innings though the Royals didn’t give Greinke much run support in their 2-1 loss on Friday.
"Zack was really good," manager Trey Hillman said. "We got the pitching back but couldn't put the offense with it."
The Angels will send veteran right-hander Jered Weaver (2-4, 4.36 ERA) to the mound hoping he can rebound from his last performance as he allowed four runs in seven innings in a 4-3 loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Friday.
Los Angeles closer Francisco Rodriguez leads the majors with 14 saves while the Royals have the worst home record in all of baseball, (5-9).
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Gambling Free Picks:
The Angels are 4-0 in Weaver’s last four starts during game two of a series.
The Angels are 15-6 in Weaver’s last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.
The Royals are 5-1 in Greinke’s last six home starts.
The Royals are 18-39 in Greinke’s last 57 starts.
The Under is 6-1-1 in Weaver’s last eight starts vs. a team with a losing record.
The Under is 4-1 in Greinke’s last five starts during game two of a series.
The Under is 5-0 in Weaver’s last five starts vs. Royals.
The Under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Kansas City.
Analysis: Despite the fact that the L.A. Angels seem to own them at home, I am going with the Kansas City Royals to bounce back from last night’s loss by getting a solid performance from their staff ace Greinke, while putting up just enough runs off of Angels’ mediocre starter Jered Weaver.
MLB Free Picks: Royals 5 Angels 3
08:10 PM EST MLB Lines
Los Angeles Angels
Jered Weaver - R +1½ -210
Zack Greinke - R -1½ +175
Over 7½ -115
Under 7½ -105
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